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REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS

LUŇÁČEK, J.; DOHNAL, M.; MELUZÍN, T. REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS. In Chisa sborník. 1. Brno: FBM BUT Brno, 2006. s. 150-156. ISBN: 80-86059-45-6.
Type
conference paper
Language
Czech
Authors
Luňáček Jiří, Ing., Ph.D., MBA, ÚE (FBM), ÚM (FBM)
Meluzín Tomáš, prof. Ing., Ph.D., ÚE (FBM)
Dohnal Mirko, prof. Ing., DrSc., FME (FME), UETE (FEEC), ÚE (FBM)
Abstract

Political risks are the most difficult to evaluate. Unfortunately these types of risks are the
most frequent reasons for investment failures if such territories as some countries of Middle
East are concerned. This paper provides an introduction to common-sense analysis to political
science. It outlines the background and nature of common-sense analysis. It sets out some of
the ways in which common-sense analysis can be developed and taking political risks as an
example it examines how this analysis could be applied in theory and considers some possible
applications. The case study of oil related political risks is presented in details (eight variables
and 24 qualitative relations among the variables). No knowledge of qualitative analysis is
required.

Keywords

Risk, prediction, kvalitatives modeling

Published
2006
Pages
150–156
Proceedings
Chisa sborník
Series
1
Edition
1
Conference
XVII. International congress CHISA 2006
ISBN
80-86059-45-6
Publisher
FBM BUT Brno
Place
Brno
BibTeX 
@inproceedings{BUT28758,
  author="Jiří {Luňáček} and Tomáš {Meluzín} and Mirko {Dohnal}",
  title="REASONING AND PREDICTIONS OF POLITICAL RISKS AS THE VAGUEST ELEMENT OF INVESTMENT RELATED RISKS",
  booktitle="Chisa sborník",
  year="2006",
  series="1",
  number="1",
  pages="150--156",
  publisher="FBM BUT Brno",
  address="Brno",
  isbn="80-86059-45-6"
}
Departments
Institute of Economics (ÚE)
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