Result Details

Statistical inference on the local dependence condition of extreme values in a stationary sequence

HOLEŠOVSKÝ, J.; FUSEK, M. Statistical inference on the local dependence condition of extreme values in a stationary sequence. Extremes, 2025, vol. 28, no. 3, p. 557-578. ISSN: 1386-1999.
Type
journal article
Language
English
Authors
Holešovský Jan, Ing., Ph.D., MAT (FCE)
Fusek Michal, Ing., Ph.D., UMAT (FEEC)
Abstract

The extremal index is an important characteristic measuring dependence of extreme values in a stationary series. Several new estimators that are mostly based on interexceedance times within the Peaks-over-Threshold model have been recently published. Nevertheless, in many cases these estimators rely on suitable choice of auxiliary parameters and/or are derived under assumptions that are related to validity of the local dependence condition $D^{(k)}(u_n)$. Although the determination of the correct order $k$ in the $D^{(k)}(u_n)$ condition can have major effect on the extremal index estimates, there are not many reliable methods available for this task. In this paper, we present various approaches to assessing validity of the $D^{(k)}(u_n)$ condition including a graphical diagnostics and propose several statistical tests. A simulation study is carried out to determine performance of the statistical tests, particularly the type I and type II errors.

Keywords

Local dependence; extremal index; extreme value theory; clusters

URL
Published
2025
Pages
557–578
Journal
Extremes, vol. 28, no. 3, ISSN 1386-1999
Publisher
Springer
DOI
UT WoS
001493340900001
EID Scopus
BibTeX
@article{BUT197986,
  author="Jan {Holešovský} and Michal {Fusek}",
  title="Statistical inference on the local dependence condition of extreme values in a stationary sequence",
  journal="Extremes",
  year="2025",
  volume="28",
  number="3",
  pages="557--578",
  doi="10.1007/s10687-025-00513-8",
  issn="1386-1999",
  url="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10687-025-00513-8"
}
Files
Departments
Department of Mathematics (UMAT)
Institute of Mathematics and Descriptive Geometry (MAT)
Back to top